Sea started as a gaming business, Garena, but in 2015 expanded into e-commerce... Show more
Sea Limited is a Singapore-based consumer internet company operating three core businesses: Shopee, its e-commerce marketplace; Garena, its digital entertainment and gaming division best known for Free Fire and Arena of Valor; and SeaMoney (rebranded Monee), its digital financial services arm offering payments and consumer and SME credit. The company serves markets across Southeast Asia, Taiwan, and Latin America, with Brazil a growing focus. Founded by Forrest Li, Sea is listed on the New York Stock Exchange and counts Tencent among its significant shareholders. Investors follow SE for its exposure to fast-growing emerging-market digital commerce, gaming, and fintech, as well as for its shift toward profitability and disciplined capital allocation, including a $1 billion share repurchase program authorized in late 2025.
Over the trailing 30 days, SE fell from $97.36 at the Sept. 30 close to $74.24 on Oct. 30, a decline of approximately 23.7%. The stock touched an intraday one-year low near $71.53 on Oct. 26 before stabilizing. The move extends a longer slide: from roughly $111 in early August, shares are down about 33% over the past three months, and the stock has lost roughly 42% year-to-date, sharply underperforming major equity benchmarks. The downtrend has been persistent rather than a single-session shock, with elevated trading volume during the sharpest October declines and the stock trading well below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
The sharpest losses followed a leaked internal memo from CEO Forrest Li, reported by The Wall Street Journal, in which Li outlined two strategic moves: potentially listing part of the Monee fintech business to raise capital and positioning Sea as an AI-oriented cloud computing provider. Investors reacted negatively, viewing a Monee listing as potentially separating one of Sea's fastest-growing and most profitable segments and treating the AI cloud push as a capital-intensive entry into a crowded field. Separately, disclosed insider selling weighed on sentiment, including a filing showing Chief Commercial Officer Yanjun Wang sold shares in mid-October. Margin concerns tied to higher investment at Shopee, along with intensifying competition from TikTok Shop in e-commerce, also contributed to cautious positioning. No single negative earnings release drove the move; rather, the decline reflected a combination of strategic uncertainty, insider activity, and fading risk appetite.
Sea's quarterly performance tells a story of strong results giving way to fading momentum. Second-quarter earnings reported on Aug. 11 briefly lifted shares above $131, but the stock relinquished those gains over the following weeks as investors weighed margin pressure from increased Shopee investment and competitive threats. Through September, shares drifted lower as the broader technology sector and emerging-market equities faced a more cautious backdrop. The October strategic announcements then accelerated the decline. The key contrast in the quarter: Sea's operating results have remained robust—first-quarter revenue grew 46.6% year over year and adjusted EBITDA rose 9.3%—yet market sentiment has focused on near-term execution risks and strategic ambiguity rather than top-line momentum.
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Sea's next earnings report, scheduled for Nov. 10, 2026, is the primary near-term catalyst. Consensus estimates anticipate revenue around $8.35 billion, up roughly 35% year over year. Investors will focus on Shopee's gross merchandise value growth and margin trajectory, Monee's loan book and asset quality, and Garena's bookings momentum. The broader AI cloud strategy and any updates on a potential Monee listing will also be closely watched, given their role in the recent selloff. Macroeconomic factors, including interest rates, currency moves in Southeast Asia and Brazil, and consumer spending trends, add further variables. Competitive dynamics with TikTok Shop and Lazada remain central to Shopee's outlook. None of these factors should be read as a prediction of future price performance.
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On November 03, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for SE moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 61 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 52 of the 61 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 85%.
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SE's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 31 of 42 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Following a +3.41% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SE advanced for three days, in 254 of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
SE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SE as a result. In 59 of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SE turned negative on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 39 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 78%.
The 50-day moving average for SE moved below the 200-day moving average on November 02, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
The Aroon Indicator for SE entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.642) is normal, around the industry mean (21.510). P/E Ratio (28.433) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.793). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.951) is also within normal values, averaging (1.774). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.379) is also within normal values, averaging (1.328).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. SE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a provider of online gaming services
Industry InternetRetail